CIFEr 2009 Program

Tutorial CIFER-T1: Frontiers of Computational Engineering and Finance: Modeling and Calibrating Cre

Monday, March 30, 8:30AM-10:30AM, Room: Hermitage B, Instructor: Agostino Capponi, California Institute of Technology, USA

Session CIFER-1: FINANCIAL ENGINEERING APPLICATIONS: Risk Management & Time Series Analysis

Monday, March 30, 11:00AM-1:00PM, Room: Hermitage B, Chair: Daniel Paraschiv, Ireland

11:00AM   A Calibration Method for Structural Models of Credit Risk with Reporting bias [#4]
Agostino Capponi
California Institute of Technology, United States
11:24AM   Inference of the Structural Credit Risk Model using MLE [#12]
Yuxi Li, Li Cheng and Dale Schuurmans
University of Alberta, Canada; Toyota Technological Institute (TTI) at Chicago, United States
11:48AM   The Fuzzy Term Structure of Interest Rates of the National Debt Market in China [#15]
Fan-Yong Liu
School of Finance and Economics, Hangzhou Dianzi University, Hangzhou, China

Panel Session CIFER-2: XBRL and CIFEr integrations - our roadmap.

Monday, March 30, 2:00PM-4:00PM, Room: Hermitage B, Chair: Mike Willis, PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP, USA

2:00PM   XBRL and CIFEr integrations - our roadmap
Robert Golan, Masatomo Goto, David vun Kannon and Mike Willis
DBmind Technologies, United States; Fujitsu, Japan; Deloitte, United States; Price Waterhouse Coopers, United States

Session CIFER-3: FINANCIAL ENGINEERING APPLICATIONS: Algol Trading & Computational Economics

Monday, March 30, 4:30PM-6:30PM, Room: Hermitage B, Chair: Ben Collingsworth, USA

4:30PM   Agent-Based Computational Economics: Studying the Effect of Different Levels of Rationality on Inflation and Unemployment [#2]
Ahmed Okasha and Colin Johnson
University of Kent, United Kingdom
4:54PM   Stocks Scanner Evaluator for Stocks or Options [#8]
Daniel Paraschiv, Srinivas Raghavendra and Laurentiu Vasiliu
CIMRU National University of Ireland, Galway, Ireland; Department of Economics National University of Ireland, Galway, Ireland; CIMRU/DERI
National University of Ireland, Galway, Ireland
5:18PM   Modeling Intelligence of Learning Agents in An Artificial Double Auction Market [#16]
Shu-Heng Chen and Chung-Ching Tai
Department of Economics, National Chengchi University, Taiwan

Tutorial CIFER-T2: Boeing's Method for Valuing High-Risk High-Return Technology Projects Using Real

Tuesday, March 31, 8:30AM-10:30AM, Room: Hermitage B, Instructor:
Scott Mathews, Boeing Research and Technology, The Boeing Company, USA

Session CIFER-4: APPLICATIONS & MODELS: Data Mining & Behavioral Finance & Energy Markets

Tuesday, March 31, 11:00AM-1:00PM, Room: Hermitage B, Chair: Bogdan Gabrys, SUNY, USA

11:00AM   Assessing Organizational Stability via Network Analysis [#10]
Ben Collingsworth, Ronaldo Menezes and Paulo Martins
Florida Institute of Technology, United States; Chaminade University of Honolulu, United States
11:24AM   Process Learning of Network Interactions in Market Microstructures [#14]
Dave Twardowski, Robert Savell and George Cybenko
Dartmouth College, United States
11:48AM   Overconfident Investors in the LLS Agent-Based Artificial Financial Market [#17]
Milan Lovric, Uzay Kaymak and Jaap Spronk
Erasmus University Rotterdam, Netherlands
12:12PM   Energy Forward Price Prediction with a Hybrid Adaptive Model [#18]
Hang T. Nguyen and Ian T. Nabney
Neural Computing Research Group, School of Engineering and Applied Science, Aston University, United Kingdom

Panel Session CIFER-5: What the Financial Industry needs from CIFEr to ease its burdens

Tuesday, March 31, 2:00PM-4:00PM, Room: Hermitage B, Chair: Pete Angeline, Resurgent Capital Services, USA

2:00PM   What the Financial Industry needs from CIFEr to ease its burdens
Agostino Capponi, Pete Angeline, Scott Mathews, Dirk Van den Poel and David vun Kannon
Caltech, United States; Resurgent Capital Services, United States; The Boeing Corporation, United States; Ghent University, Belgium; Deloitte, United States

Session CIFER-6: APPLICATIONS & MODELS: Intelligent Trading Agents & Pricing & Forecasting

Tuesday, March 31, 4:30PM-6:30PM, Room: Hermitage B, Chair: Dave Twardowski, Dartmouth College, USA

4:30PM   Accumulator Pricing [#3]
Kin Lam, Philip Leung-ho Yu and Ling Xin
Hong Kong Baptist University, Hong Kong; The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
4:54PM   Applying Induced Aggregation Operator in Designing Intelligent Monitoring System for Financial Market [#5]
Benjamin Fonooni and Seied Javad Mousavi Moghadam
Arinals, Iran
5:18PM   Dynamic Combination of Forecasts Generated by Diversification Procedures Applied to Forecasting of Airline Cancellations [#6]
Christiane Lemke, Silvia Riedel and Bogdan Gabrys
Bournemouth University, United Kingdom; Lufthansa Systems Berlin GmbH, Germany

IEEE SSCI 2009     March 30 – April 2, 2009     Sheraton Music City Hotel, Nashville, TN, USA