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November 17, 2013

Mtg: Eastern Europe’s Semiconductor Technology – Recollections and Projections

by @ 2:40 pm. Filed under ALL, Electronics Design, Engineering Mgmt, Semiconductors

TUESDAY November 19, 2013
SCV Electron Devices Chapter
Speaker: Dr. Constantin Bulucea, IEEE Fellow, TI (retired)
Time: Networking and pizza at 6:00 PM, Presentation at 6:15 PM
Cost: none
Place: Texas Instruments Building E Conference Center, 2900 Semiconductor Dr., Santa Clara
RSVP: not required
Emerging from isolation in forced economic independence, the semiconductor industries in the Eastern block is seen as having recently gone through three decades of government-backed growth followed by economic collapse (1981-1990), rough transition to the market economy (1991-2000), and stabilization to a new equilibrium within the globalization trend (2001 to 2010). Concurrently, the Western block had its growths, enthusiasms, delusions and corrections. The dynamics of these evolutions will be illustrated with landmark achievements associated with advancing on corresponding â??Mooreâ??s Lawâ? curves.
At the world level, relatively longer times are observed from invention to application, as the complexity of the new processes and systems increases. It has taken 13 years for the CMOS IC invention to be used in primitive microprocessors (20 for more practical ones), versus only 5 for the bipolar IC invention to find its place in space guidance computers. This observation is important when projecting the application of nanotechnologies to VLSI electronics.
The remainder of the discussion will analyze what is expected to happen in the East in the following years. Learning from the observed unpredictability of the semiconductor industry, the speaker will make cautious predictions, still insisting on the very-high-technology commodity characteristic of digital VLSI electronics. Correspondingly, VLSI products will be profitably manufactured in foundries having price tags in the range of $10B. However, the design, modeling/simulation, and testing of such products will remain realistic everywhere. Among other areas of realistic opportunities, the speaker will suggest analog and mixed-signal ICs, power switches and photovoltaics, TCAD, and nanotechnology, each commented separately. For the latter, reduction to practice appears to be the most critical expectation. The globalization-related unemployment will be commented briefly based on statistical distribution of â??skillsâ? in the population.


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